The geopolitical, geostrategic, and geoeconomic dynamics in the South Caucasus are on the verge of a transformative shift. The upcoming meeting in Washington between Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, facilitated by US President Donald Trump, signals the promising dawn of a new phase that could reshape long-standing political realities in the region. This pivotal encounter not only paves the way for a potential peace agreement between these historically rival nations but also underscores the United States' commitment to emerging as a key strategic actor in the South Caucasus. Now is the time for us to recognise the significance of this moment and support efforts that could lead to lasting stability and dialogue in a region that has experienced decades of conflict.

Now, let us take a brief look at the history of the processes and their possible implications.

Azerbaijan’s conditions for signing a peace agreement remain unchanged, as President Ilham Aliyev recently stated at the III Shusha Global Media Forum: the abolition of the OSCE Minsk Group and amendments to Armenia’s Constitution to remove territorial claims against Azerbaijan. While constitutional amendments are expected to be addressed in the longer term, the decision to abolish the Minsk Group can be made now. Azerbaijan has no aggressive plans against Armenia. Baku is negotiating with the current legitimate leadership in Yerevan. This reassertion of the peace agenda is not a new development but a continuation of a process that began when Azerbaijan presented its “five basic principles” for a peace agreement in spring 2022.

All agreements between Azerbaijan and Armenia are being reached in a bilateral format, an approach proposed by Baku and achieved despite resistance from Armenia and its backers. The expectation on communications remains firm: the Zangazur Corridor must operate under a special regime, with international oversight to ensure non-obstruction and security.

The upcoming meeting will mark the first direct encounter between the presidents of Azerbaijan and the United States. It presents an opportunity to define the bilateral agenda. Meetings with Donald Trump often bring surprises,........

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