The political earthquake in Hungary, marked by the electoral defeat of Viktor Orbán and the rise of Péter Magyar, signals more than just a domestic transition. It opens a new chapter for the European Union, one that may now operate with fewer internal blockages on key strategic decisions, particularly regarding support for Ukraine.

For years, Budapest under Orbán had acted as a brake within the EU system, frequently delaying or vetoing decisions related to sanctions on Russia and financial assistance to Kyiv. With that obstacle now removed, attention has quickly shifted to the unblocking of a major €90 billion aid package intended to support Ukraine’s war effort and state stability.

Yet the central question remains: does this political shift meaningfully alter the trajectory of the war?

In his comment on the issue for AzerNEWS, international relations expert Ognjen Petronijevic says expectations should remain measured:

"It is highly unlikely that the change of government in Hungary and the adoption of the €90 billion aid package for Ukraine will significantly alter the course of the war. The loan itself remains modest compared to the financial support provided by the Biden administration between 2022 and 2025, which alone reached $174 billion in total. Currently, without strong financial support from Washington and an active role of Brussels in the future diplomatic initiatives, a significant shift on the ground appears highly improbable. Nonetheless, the loan will help Kyiv maintain state functionality, sustain fundamental governance, and enhance its military capabilities to a certain extent. Whether this will translate........

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