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Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

The Hill

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Reversing Trump’s slide in economic ratings will be an uphill battle

Trump’s slide in popularity over the past year is in marked contrast to his first term, when close to half of U.S. adults approved of his policies.

24.04.2026 3

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

How outsized budget deficits impact the Fed’s decisions

Large fiscal imbalances leave the Fed in a box that limits its ability to lower rates.

10.04.2026 3

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

The Iran war produces a sea change in Fed policy expectations

The disruption of oil supplies is the largest in history, according to the International Energy Agency.

27.03.2026 3

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

2026 isn't 1979: How the US could withstand another oil shock

One factor that helps contain the fallout in the U.S. is it is the largest producer of oil.

13.03.2026 8

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

How Trump’s trade policy spiraled out of control

He views trade as a zero-sum game, in which there are winners and losers based on whether a country runs a surplus or deficit.

27.02.2026 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Bitcoin’s plunge should end the hype that it is digital gold

Enthusiasts will be hard pressed to convince investors that it is as good as gold.

13.02.2026 20

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Trump backed off his Greenland threats, but markets still aren’t convinced

The big unknown is how long markets will stay calm in the face of growing geopolitical uncertainty.

29.01.2026 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Despite a resilient economy, Trump’s tariffs have not delivered

Even though a replay of the 1930s has been averted, tariffs have not lived up to President Trump’s billings. 

19.12.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

The Fed’s new policy framework is about to be tested 

Next week’s Federal Open Market Committee meeting promises to be one of the most interesting in recent memory.

06.12.2025 20

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Why foreign investors like US assets but not the dollar

The principal reason is they view it as vulnerable.

07.11.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Weak August jobs report flashes warning signs

Happy Friday! Who else wants to have a Honey Deuce with Jessie Pegula? In today's issue:

05.09.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Why markets are calm, for now, amid Trump’s assault on the Fed

The U.S. bond market has not reacted to the events thus far, which has caused many observers to question why. 

05.09.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Jerome Powell stays keeps an even keel at Jackson Hole

Heading into the Jackson Hole Economic Summit, investors focused on how Jerome Powell’s message might differ from his assessment of the economy at...

22.08.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Despite trade deals, the fallout from tariffs is just beginning

The main threat to the U.S. economy stems from the unprecedented economic policy uncertainty associated with tariffs and prospective large federal...

31.07.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

As the trade deadline passes, the only certainty is more uncertainty

The uncertainty associated with tariffs and the trade war is weighing on households and businesses alike.

11.07.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Even without a recession, Trump's tariffs will be painful

The U.S. may avoid a recession this year, but the risk of one increases the longer the trade war lasts.

09.05.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

Why tackling America’s ‘twin deficit’ now is essential

There are ultimately two main stumbling blocks to resolving the trade conflict. 

25.04.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor

The looming budget question: Will Medicaid cuts fund tax cuts?

Republicans should focus tax cuts on middle-income and lower-income households that would provide greater support to the economy than tax cuts for the...

14.03.2025 10

The Hill

Nicholas Sargen, Opinion Contributor