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Carneymania Sweeps the Country. Yes, Even Quebec and Alberta

Polls show the prime minister’s popularity stretches far beyond the Liberal base

A little less than a year after the April 2025 federal election, public opinion data continues to break strongly in favour of Mark Carney’s Liberal government.

The latest federal poll by Leger suggests the Liberal Party now holds a substantial lead in voting intentions. The survey, conducted from February 27 to March 2 among 1,627 respondents, puts the Liberals at 49 percent support among Canadian voters, compared to 35 percent for Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives.

It is the largest Liberal advantage measured by Leger since the summer of 2020.

In Quebec, the Liberals command 48 percent of voting intentions in the Leger poll—twenty-three points ahead of the Bloc Québécois at 25 percent. That margin dwarfs last April’s election, when the Liberals won the province by fifteen points.

But Liberal dominance extends well beyond Quebec. Leger shows the party leading by sixteen points in Ontario and thirteen points in British Columbia. If an election were held today, the Liberals would cruise to a comfortable majority. The latest 338Canada projection gives them an average of 201 seats—far above the 172 needed to control the House of Commons.

This rise in voting intentions tracks closely with the Carney government’s especially........

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