House Republicans are bracing for potential leadership shake-ups in the coming weeks, a post-election scramble that will heavily depend on who wins control of the lower chamber and White House in November.

The biggest wildcard is what Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.) will do. The Louisiana Republican has said he wants to continue to lead the House GOP conference if they retain the majority, but has been mum on his plans if Democrats take the upper hand in the lower chamber.

Amid that uncertainty, Republican lawmakers have their eyes on the next moves of Rep. Steve Scalise (R-La.), the No. 2 House GOP leader; Judiciary Committee Chair Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), who has conspicuously worked to increase his fundraising across the conference; and House Majority Whip Tom Emmer (R-Minn.), who has made an effort to repair his relationship with former President Trump.

And hanging over the leadership conversation is Trump himself, whose support could tip the scales in favor of one Republican over another — especially if he wins another term in the White House.

In conversations with The Hill, nearly two dozen Republican lawmakers, aides and operatives said next year’s House GOP leadership lineup — which will be determined the after the election — remains up in the air.

“I don't know what the chess board’s going to look like,” one House Republican told The Hill, “but I definitely think there are some people who are trying to make some moves.”

What does Speaker Johnson do?

Johnson has made it clear that he hopes to keep his gavel if the party retains control of the chamber — particularly if Trump wins the White House and Republicans flip the Senate.

But he has not said whether he would seek to lead the House GOP if Republicans lose. Asked about that scenario last month, Johnson told reporters “we’ll cross that bridge when we come to it.”

The dominant view among Republicans, however, is that Johnson would not remain atop the House GOP conference if it is relegated to the minority. Some lawmakers say members of the Speaker’s leadership team could also lose their positions in that scenario.

“If we lose the majority, there will be leadership shake-up,” one House Republican said, adding that the status of Johnson’s deputies would be “questionable.”

Even if Republicans win control of the House, the size of their majority could put Johnson’s chances for remaining Speaker in question.

A small majority means that even a handful of members could threaten Johnson’s prospect of being elected Speaker again on the House floor — the same scenario that played out when a handful of Republicans blocked former Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) from being elected Speaker for five days at the start of 2023.

At least one Republican is already warning that they will not get behind Johnson’s bid under any circumstances.

“I’m not voting for him........

© The Hill