During this last week of a high-stakes midterm-election campaign, polling data is flying around with ever-increasing velocity, and the big mystery is whether a Democratic wave can flip the United States Senate (control of the House is generally being conceded to Democrats). Indeed, there are a lot of close Senate races in states ranging from Maine to Alaska. And another venue is on everyone’s watch list after today’s release of a new high-quality New York Times–Siena survey: deep-red South Carolina, where appointed GOP senator Darline Graham is in the fight of her brief and sudden political life against Democrat Annie Andrews.

Among likely voters, Andrews and Graham are tied at 48 percent of the vote, per Times-Siena. The survey shows a modestly more Democratic-leaning electorate than is customary in the Palmetto State, where President Trump’s job-approval ratings are not great. It also indicates that Andrews is getting a small but crucial slice of Trump 2024 voters and is doing very well........

© Daily Intelligencer