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James Horncastle

James Horncastle

The Conversation

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How the U.S.‑Israel attack on Iran helps Russia in its war against Ukraine

How the U.S.‑Israel attack on Iran helps Russia in its war against Ukraine

The U.S.-Israeli war in Iran is helping advance Russian interests as it prepares for a spring offensive against Ukraine.

09.03.2026 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Les frappes américano‑israéliennes contre l’Iran pourraient être un succès militaire, mais à quel prix ?

Même en parvenant à provoquer un changement de régime en Iran, les États-Unis et Israël risquent de créer une situation géopolitique encore pire.

03.03.2026 20

The Conversation - FR

James Horncastle

U.S.‑Israeli strikes against Iran may succeed on a military basis, but at what cost?

Even if the U.S. and Israel succeed in bringing about regime change in Iran, they may create an even worse geopolitical situation.

02.03.2026 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

U.S.‑Israeli strikes against Iran may succeed on a military basis, but at what political cost?

Even if the U.S. and Israel succeed in bringing about regime change in Iran, they may create an even worse geopolitical situation.

01.03.2026 8

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Canada should be wary of embracing ‘total national defence’ to ward off an American invasion

Total national defence seeks to force an adversary to weigh the long-term costs of invasion and occupation.

02.02.2026 8

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Donald Trump’s Ukraine peace deal would leave the country vulnerable to future Russian attacks

The Ukraine peace plan negotiated between the U.S. and Russia is a non-starter for Ukraine, and also puts the country in the unenviable position of...

07.12.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Les provocations de la Russie en Europe indiquent-elles un affaiblissement de sa position stratégique ?

Les faiblesses militaires et économiques de la Russie semblent contraindre Poutine à recourir à des moyens non conventionnels pour remporter la...

16.10.2025 10

The Conversation - FR

James Horncastle

Why Russia’s provocations in Europe actually signal a weakened strategic position

Russian military and economic weaknesses are apparently forcing Putin to use unconventional means to secure victory against Ukraine.

13.10.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

A pro-democracy Venezuelan politician wins this year’s Nobel Peace Prize. Is it a rebuke to Trump?

With the world’s traditional champion of democratic governance in retrenchment, other pro-democracy forces are stepping into the breach —...

10.10.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

What NATO could learn from Ukraine as it navigates Russian threats to European security

Throughout its war with Russia, Ukraine is providing lessons to the West on what’s required to win a modern-day war. Will European and other states...

17.09.2025 9

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Réunions séparées avec Poutine et Zelensky : Trump fait le jeu de la Russie

Donald Trump a été réticent à prendre des engagements fermes lors des réunions avec Zelensky et les dirigeants européens. La Russie de Poutine...

20.08.2025 5

The Conversation - FR

James Horncastle

How Trump’s separate meetings with Putin and Zelenskyy have advanced Russian interests

Given Donald Trump’s unwillingness to make firm commitments at the meetings with Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European leaders, Russia has come out on top.

19.08.2025 9

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Summer has brought both hope and questions for Ukraine amid Donald Trump’s posturing

Ukraine is managing to survive what could be Russia’s last chance at decisive victory if Donald Trump is serious about his ceasefire threats to the...

29.07.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

How Israeli and U.S. strikes against Iran were facilitated by the Russia-Ukraine  war

The U.S. government may argue that supporting Ukraine is not in American interests, but Ukraine’s ongoing fight against Russia is actually assisting...

26.06.2025 5

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Why Israel and the U.S. are sure to encounter the limits of air power in Iran

The U.S. military could certainly make an impact in any air campaign against Iran. But it will want to avoid another Iraq-like quagmire.

22.06.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Why Israel — and potentially the U.S. — is sure to encounter the limits of air power in Iran

The U.S. military could certainly make an impact in any air campaign against Iran. But it will want to avoid another Iraq-like quagmire.

20.06.2025 3

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Why Israel — and potentially the U.S. — are sure to encounter the limits of air power in Iran

The U.S. military could certainly make an impact in any air campaign against Iran. But it will want to avoid another Iraq-like quagmire.

19.06.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Ukraine’s drone attacks on Russian airfields could derail Russia’s war efforts

Operation Spider Web does not change the Ukraine-Russia war militarily. But the successful Ukrainian drone attacks do bring Russia’s military...

04.06.2025 8

The Conversation

James Horncastle

How Ukraine’s drone attacks on Russian airfields could derail Russia’s war efforts

Operation Spider Web does not change the Ukraine-Russia war militarily. But the successful Ukrainian drone attacks do bring Russia’s military...

03.06.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Tariffs don’t just affect the global economy, but create political instability as well

Donald Trump’s tariffs will create greater instability in international affairs for the foreseeable future.

17.04.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Trump-Putin ceasefire conversation shows no initial signs of bringing peace to Ukraine

What did Donald Trump’s phone call with Vladimir Putin actually accomplish in terms of a lasting ceasefire agreement with Ukraine? Not much.

19.03.2025 5

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Putin makes paltry concession to Ukraine in Trump’s self-aggrandizing ceasefire effort

What did Donald Trump’s phone call with Vladimir Putin actually accomplish in terms of a lasting ceasefire agreement with Ukraine? Not much.

19.03.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

What the U.S. ceasefire proposal means for Ukraine, Russia, Europe — and Donald Trump

Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s success in bolstering support for Ukraine in Europe following a contentious White House meeting might be an example of his...

12.03.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle

Why is Trump’s preferential treatment of Russia shifting? Because there’s nothing in it for him

Donald Trump’s position on Ukraine has shifted over time. His antagonistic relationship with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has seemingly improved....

05.02.2025 10

The Conversation

James Horncastle