What Gulf states would say to Iran. War is temporary, geography is permanent
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Opinion National Interest PoV 50-Word Edit
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What Gulf states would say to Iran. War is temporary, geography is permanent
Iran faces a choice that is larger than the immediate conduct of war. It can continue the logic of short-term escalation, or it can think in the longer historical frame.
War has a way of compressing political judgment. In moments of conflict, states become absorbed by the immediate imperatives of retaliation, deterrence, pressure, signalling, and survival. Strategic horizons narrow. Long-term reasoning yields to short-term necessity. Yet history offers a sobering reminder: No war is permanent. Every conflict, however bitter, eventually gives way to a more difficult phase, the task of repairing what has been broken and reconstructing a workable order among those who must continue to live side by side.
From this broader perspective, Iran’s repeated attacks on neighbouring Gulf states appear profoundly self-defeating. Regardless of any immediate military rationale, the broader consequences are likely to endure far longer than any short-term gains. Physical infrastructure, such as buildings, airports, and markets, can be restored, and even severely affected economies may recover over time. However, trust between neighbours, once broken, is far more difficult to rebuild. Each missile and drone strike in Gulf cities and civilian spaces further erodes this trust. This issue is central to the region’s future and to Iran’s position within it.
Iran is not a remote nation in a corner of the earth. It is not an isolated power operating outside the social and economic realities of its neighbourhood. It belongs to a tightly interdependent regional geography, linked to surrounding states by history, commerce, migration, and proximity. Large Iranian communities have lived in countries such as the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Bahrain for generations. In cities like Dubai, Iranian merchants and businesses have long formed part of the commercial landscape. If these same societies now........
