2026 midterm elections: When polls close; when results are expected

There are just seven days until the final votes will be cast in the 2026 midterms.

Tens of millions of voters across the country have already cast ballots for Senate, House, governor, state legislature and other critical races that will determine the future of President Trump’s agenda.

In the Senate, Democrats must flip four Republican-held seats to gain control. In the House, Democrats need to pick up just three seats.

One week out, who is winning the race, and when can we expect results in the most anticipated matchups?

What do the pollsters and forecasters say?

Public polling has Democrats ahead in more than enough Senate races to take back control, though leads in most states are narrow and within the margin of error.

Nonpartisan election forecaster Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), a partner of The Hill, gives Democrats a 57 percent chance of Senate control and an 80 percent chance of House control, as of Tuesday afternoon.

For Senate control, Democrats need to win multiple states that Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Their best pickup opportunity in the Senate is North Carolina, per DDHQ, but the party also leads narrowly in Alaska, Maine, Texas and Ohio. They trail by a small margin in Iowa and are tied in Kansas.

Democrats also lead in the states they are defending: Georgia, Michigan and Minnesota. On a really good night for Democrats, the party is also targeting some “reach” states where their candidates have some chance of an upset: South Carolina, Mississippi and a Democrat-backed independent candidate in Nebraska.

In the House, Democrats need an even smaller net gain than in the Senate, though Republican redistricting efforts mean the GOP is likely to pick up a few redrawn, deep red seats. Still, Democrats are........

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