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The ‘Wrinkle’ in LA Democrats’ Plans

Editor’s note: This is a lightly edited transcript of today’s video from Daily Signal Senior Contributor Victor Davis Hanson. Subscribe to our YouTube channel to see more of his videos.

Hello, this is Victor Davis Hanson for the Daily Signal.  

This Tuesday, June 2, there are many national, state, and local races throughout the country. Here in California, we’re looking at the governor’s race to see if Steve Hilton can pull off an upset against Xavier Becerra and Tom Steyer and others, but especially the Los Angeles mayor’s race. 

Usually, we don’t look at these races very carefully in California, or indeed any blue state, because they’re shoo-ins for Democrat candidates. But this one’s a little different for a variety of reasons.  

Right now, in this huge field, there are three candidates. One, nominally Republican, although at times he’s been an independent, Spencer Pratt, with no prior political experience. 

He was a real TV star a few years ago. And then there’s the incumbent mayor, Karen Bass, and a city councilman, City Councilman [Nithya] Raman. And they’re all polling variously between 21 and 25 percent, which suggests the race now is among those three. 

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Ostensibly, again ostensibly, Bass and Raman have the advantage because Los Angeles has flipped from a once conservative city in the 1960s and ’70s to radically left due to immigration and outmigration. 

But there’s a little wrinkle to it. Pratt’s not really identifiable as a MAGA Republican, and he’s not talking about national issues. He’s talking about local issues.  

So although he suffers from the reality that conservatives are not liked in Los Angeles, he’s running against two far-left candidates who may in fact split the vote. 

Now, the polls themselves are problematic because of two things. One, as we learned in the 2024 race when the Harvard, NPR, or the Harris NPR poll the night before the balloting began in person said that Kamala Harris would win beyond the margin of error—that would be 4%—and of course, she lost by 1.5%. 

They were 5.5%. We got the........

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