The midterms are still seven months away, and the Republicans must contend with an American voter whose mood has noticeably changed.

After regaining the White House in 2024, President Donald Trump – seeking revenge after being “cheated” of the presidency in the 2020 election – confidently declared victory. His approval numbers never looked better and the Republicans controlled Congress. Meanwhile, the Democrats looked dazed and confused as they struggled to make sense of their loss. Yes, Trump appeared invincible. But that was yesterday.

Trump is certainly aware of the curse that has haunted incumbent leaders for decades which says that they have a high chance of losing the midterms (for the uninitiated, midterm elections are the general elections that are held near the midpoint of a president’s four-year term of office). This curse has held true for even popular two-term leaders like Barack Obama, Bill Clinton and Ronald Reagan. To put it bluntly, the numbers do not look very promising for the Republicans at this stage of the game.

According to the latest data, Donald Trump’s approval rating is 33%, which is the lowest in his second term. This........

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