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Trump vs. Trump

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19.10.2026

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Donald Trump and Democrats agree on one thing: The midterm elections are about Donald Trump. The president seems to think this will work for Republicans – he keeps urging voters to pretend he is on the ballot. But this may be a serious miscalculation that will damage the GOP, Trump’s legacy, and ultimately our country.

The polls suggest the midterms will be a Democratic rout. Republicans respond by pointing to flawed polls during this year’s primaries and observing that Trump always outperforms polls. They note that even modest errors could mean Republicans will fend off a meltdown. But spending decisions being made by national political action committees, Trump’s campaign schedule, and his weak job approval ratings (38% approval vs. 60% disapproval in the RCP averages) tell a different story.

Conversely, gerrymandering and court decisions have reduced the number of contested congressional districts, and there are some signs of improvement in the GOP‘s Senate prospects as voters focus on the candidates. Most Democratic advantages are within the margin of error.

At a minimum, Republicans are having a rough go of it, and it didn’t have to be this way. For Republicans to prevail, the election will have to be about performance, not personality.

The Trump administration has done an exemplary job implementing its campaign promises: restoring free speech, freedom of religion, and individual liberties; closing the border and deporting illegal aliens; deregulating business; curtailing the green agenda and challenging transgender delusions; supporting law and order; boosting U.S. manufacturing, energy production and jobs; strong-arming Europe to contribute to its defense; backing Israel, containing Iran, pursuing fair international trade; uncovering nearly $230 billion of government fraud; and reducing the size of government.

The administration contained inflation bequeathed by the........

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