The white-collar jobs most at risk from AI

Research maps which roles face the sharpest exposure — and the results don't always follow conventional assumptions

Not all white-collar jobs face equal risk from artificial intelligence. As AI continues hollowing out the knowledge economy, the risks are concentrated in specific roles — and the pattern is counterintuitive: seniority and credentials offer less protection than the nature of the work itself.

The research consensus

The most widely cited framework for mapping AI exposure comes from a 2023 paper by researchers at the University of Pennsylvania and OpenAI, published in the journal Science. Analyzing more than 1,000 occupations against the capabilities of large language models, the study found that roughly 80% of U.S. workers have at least 10% of their job tasks affected by AI, and about 19% face exposure of 50% or more.

Occupations most exposed share a........

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