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The Flawed Logic Behind Trump’s Operation Economic Outcast

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On August 19, 2026, President Trump announced the launch of the most crushing economic operation taken against the enemy and threatened Iran with an “Economic D-Day.” Following the announcement, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced Operation Economic Outcast against Iran to isolate it economically. Iran has proved to be a strange enemy of the United States, as many American presidents faced the political repercussions of their failed strategies against Iran.

President Carter faced a hostage crisis in 1979, which ultimately resulted in his failure to get reelected as president. Similarly, President Obama’s nuclear deal was criticized by Congress, and Benjamin Netanyahu was invited by Congress to argue against the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). In the same manner, President Trump boasted before launching a war against Tehran that the American military might be an overmatch for Iran and Washington would crush Iran’s military prowess in no time.

However, the sixth month of the Iran-US war is about to end, and there is no foreseeable end of war except for a disrupted world economy and another military setback for the most powerful army in the world. After the failure of the military campaign against Iran, the new economic war launched by Washington would also fail because it is more of a threat to the credibility of America rather than Iran, as it will fall short of bringing desired political outcomes in Iran.

From Military Campaign to Economic Warfare

The war between Iran and the US-Israel axis was started with the aim of regime change in Tehran and to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. After weeks of fighting, Pakistan and other Muslim countries, including Turkey and Egypt, brokered a ceasefire between the warring parties. In June, the diplomatic efforts by Pakistan resulted in the “Islamabad MOU,” which was seen as the end of the war by the world.

However, due to key unresolved issues such as the future of the Strait of Hormuz, Israel’s war in Lebanon, and Iran’s nuclear program, the talks could not result in the end of the war. To increase pressure on Iran to accept the American terms for ending the war, Washington has changed its strategy from relying solely on military might........

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