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Why Trump’s Iran cease-fire is an increasingly risky bet

15 0
23.04.2026

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Why Trump’s Iran cease-fire is an increasingly risky bet

President Donald Trump has indefinitely extended the cease-fire with Iran, even though the core issues that triggered the war remain unresolved.

That doesn’t change one basic fact: The Islamic Republic has been badly weakened — militarily, economically and politically.

At least half of its missile arsenal and launchers have been destroyed or degraded.

Ballistic missile production has fallen from 100 missiles a month to zero.

Former supreme leader Ali Khamenei, who ruled for 37 years, is dead.

Key military and internal security commanders have been eliminated.

Meet Ahmad Vahidi — the shadowy general actually running Iran — and Trump’s biggest obstacle to peace

Trump says Iran won’t execute 8 women after he demanded their release

Trump tells The Post news of fresh peace talks ‘possible’ as soon as Friday — as Iran scrambles to come up with ‘unified’ plan

The regime has suffered an estimated $300 billion in war damage, and a US naval blockade is costing Tehran nearly $450 million a day.

Inflation is in triple digits, the currency has collapsed and unemployment is soaring.

Since Khamenei’s elimination in the opening hours of the war, the regime has entered a leadership crisis, with growing reports of tension between the IRGC, Mojtaba Khamenei — the supreme leader’s badly wounded son and successor — and Iran’s senior political leadership.

Its terrorist proxies have taken heavy blows, from Lebanon to Gaza to Iraq and Yemen — even as they remain determined, as Abdul-Malik al-Houthi declared this week, to defeat the “Zionist plan” and drive America........

© New York Post