Cries of “Death to Khamenei” filled the night air in Tehran on June 15, rising above the thunder of Israeli airstrikes.

The same defiant chorus had echoed through the city the night before, as if the people were rehearsing for the fall of the very system they were raised to fear.

After five inconclusive rounds of talks between Iran and the United States, Israel launched its military campaign against the Islamic Republic’s leadership last week — and ordinary Iranians are not rallying around the regime.

Instead, many are now mocking Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s fundamental miscalculation when he declared during President Trump’s first term, “There will be no war, nor will we negotiate!”

Neither prediction held true.

A review of Persian-language outlets based outside Iran, which have broadcast a stream of........

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