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Opinion | Between Fear And Opportunity: Sri Lanka's India Dilemma

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24.04.2026

Opinion | Between Fear And Opportunity: Sri Lanka's India Dilemma

Updated: Apr 24, 2026 19:55 pm IST Published On Apr 24, 2026 19:54 pm IST Last Updated On Apr 24, 2026 19:55 pm IST

Published On Apr 24, 2026 19:54 pm IST

Last Updated On Apr 24, 2026 19:55 pm IST

Sri Lanka is once again at a moment of crisis - shaped by economic uncertainty, energy insecurity, and the aftershocks of its recent financial collapse. Recent attacks on Iran have further disrupted energy markets, exposing the fragility of supply chains. Yet, as so often in its post-independence history, the central question is not the nature of the crisis, but whether the country has the vision to convert it into opportunity.

At a time when India is emerging as a principal driver of regional growth and connectivity, Sri Lanka faces a stark choice: align with this transformation, or remain constrained by the anxieties of the past.

History offers instructive parallels. The Netherlands positioned itself as Europe's logistics hub after the Second World War, while Singapore became Southeast Asia's gateway. Both translated geographic advantage into sustained execution.

Sri Lanka, too, was poised - by geography and history - to play a comparable role for South Asia. Yet its trajectory has been marked by false starts and unrealised expectations. External shocks played a part, but the deeper constraint has been internal: populist politics and an inward-looking mindset, accompanied by unease about external engagement, particularly with India.

The contrast is striking. Sri Lankans have excelled globally in open, competitive environments. Yet, at home, the country has struggled to align policy........

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