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FIRST READING: Stunning byelection upset may portend Alberta conservative fracture

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17.09.2026

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FIRST READING: Stunning byelection upset may portend Alberta conservative fracture

Both pro and anti-independence conservatives were upset with the UCP ... causing the NDP to win

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FIRST READING: Stunning byelection upset may portend Alberta conservative fracture Back to video

Ever since its creation in 1986, the suburban riding of Calgary-Shaw has voted for conservatives. In the year of the provincial riding’s creation, the conservative candidate won by 61.5 per cent. Nearly 40 years later, in the last general election, the conservative candidate won by a comparable 56.3 per cent.

Even the teenagers in Calgary-Shaw vote conservative. On occasions when the riding’s two high schools have participated in straw polls during provincial elections, the results have always been blowout Progressive Conservative victories.

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Until this week, the only time Calgary-Shaw hasn’t gone for a conservative was due to a wild anomaly in 2015. That election, 30.7 per cent of the riding voted for the Progressive Conservatives and 30.4 per cent voted for the Wildrose Party, thus allowing NDP candidate Graham Sucha to slip into power with a vote share of just 31.27 per cent (he’d lose the riding by 40 points after just one term).

But with the Alberta NDP on Monday clinching a decisive byelection victory that nobody saw coming, it may represent the first material sign of a conservative bloc that is........

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