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Kashmir’s Seismic Risks Are No Longer Theoretical

14 0
yesterday

A renewed debate over India’s revised seismic zoning rules has brought an uncomfortable Himalayan reality back into focus. 

Kashmir as part of Himalayas sits atop one of the world’s most active earthquake zones, where immense tectonic pressure continues to build beneath the mountains. Geologists have warned about this for decades, and newer hazard models, fault mapping, and tectonic studies have only sharpened the science behind those warnings. 

But while scientific understanding has advanced with growing precision, public policy and urban planning continue to lag behind the restless ground beneath the valley.

The Kashmir Basin exists because continents continue to collide. Massive pressure between the Indian and Eurasian plates drives constant crustal deformation through the Himalaya. That pressure bends rock, lifts mountains, shifts faults, and stores enormous seismic energy beneath the region. 

Every fold in Kashmir landscape tells part of that story.

Earthquakes therefore belong to the geology of Kashmir itself. They built the basin and continue to modify it. Scientists describe the region as an intermontane depression controlled by a dense network of thrust faults linked to the Main Himalayan Thrust system. Strain accumulates over decades and centuries before releasing through powerful earthquakes capable of devastating entire mountain regions within minutes.

History already provides grim evidence.

The 1905 Kangra earthquake killed more than 20,000 people. The 1934 Bihar-Nepal earthquake flattened towns across the eastern Himalaya. The 1950 Assam earthquake triggered landslides, flooding, and widespread destruction. 

Then came the 2005 Muzaffarabad earthquake, which killed nearly 80,000 people and destroyed schools, hospitals, roads, and homes throughout northern Pakistan and parts of Jammu and Kashmir.

Many people in Kashmir still remember that morning. Entire hillsides collapsed, roads disappeared under debris, and villages lost generations........

© Kashmir Observer