Washington Has A Better Hand In Africa. But Will It Play It Against Beijing?
When President Donald Trump and President Xi Jinping sat down in Beijing this week, most of the world was watching for signals about tariffs, Taiwan and technology.
Fair enough. But if you want to understand where the real long-term competition between Washington and Beijing will be won or lost, look south — about 7,000 miles south, to be precise.
Africa is no longer a footnote in great power competition. It is the main event. And America keeps showing up unprepared.
Africa holds roughly 30% of the world’s proven critical mineral reserves: cobalt, lithium, copper, graphite, rare earths and the building blocks of every battery, semiconductor, and weapons system that will define the next century. Eleven of the world’s twenty fastest-growing economies in 2025 are African.
The continent’s working-age population will grow by 740 million people by 2050, the fastest expansion of any region on earth. And yet Washington’s strategic engagement with Africa has historically oscillated between humanitarian concern and benign neglect, with occasional bursts of attention whenever China does something alarming.
China noticed the opportunity decades before Washington did. Beijing spent twenty years building ports, railways, power plants and telecommunications infrastructure across the continent. This was not out of generosity, but out of strategic calculation.
Speed of execution, state-backed financing and a deliberate indifference to governance questions gave China a head start that cannot be wished away.
But here is what the conventional........
