Rethinking The Transmission Of Macroprudential Policy In Indonesia – OpEd
On 21 October, Bank Indonesia held its policy rate at 5.75 percent, cut banks’ reserve requirements in two steps, and extended zero-down-payment rules for homes and new vehicles through the end of 2027.
The zero-down rule, introduced in March 2021 as a ten-month pandemic measure, will now have run nearly seven years; September data showed investment loans growing 23.20 percent year-on-year while consumption loans grew only 4.86 percent.
The article argues that the extension functions mainly as a low-cost standing option that supports planning for developers and carmakers, while household borrowing remains constrained by job insecurity and income uncertainty rather than down-payment requirements alone.
On October 21, Bank Indonesia held its policy rate at 5.75 percent and cut banks’ reserve requirements in two steps. Then, near the bottom of a long list of measures, it extended its zero-down-payment rules for homes and new vehicles to the end of 2027. Jakarta’s headlines treated that last item as the good news of the day. DP nol persen (zero percent down payment) is the kind of policy you can explain at a family dinner. Bank Indonesia’s October 21 monetary policy announcement.
Yet the more telling detail is the date. The rule first took effect in March 2021, an emergency push to revive property lending in the middle of the pandemic. It was meant to last ten months. With this extension it will run for almost seven years. A crisis tool that outlives its crisis by that long isn’t really stimulus anymore. It has turned into something else, a standing option, a door the central bank keeps open whether or not many people walk through it.
That shift matters, because it changes what we should expect the policy to do, and what we shouldn’t.
What The Credit Numbers Are Saying
September’s lending data shows a pattern that’s hard to miss. Bank credit grew........
