Graham Platner Has Won the Battle. Can He Win the War?
On Thursday morning, Maine Governor Janet Mills announced that she would suspend her struggling senate campaign. Mills’s decision was not a surprise; her Democratic primary opponent, oyster farmer and military veteran Graham Platner, had opened up an enormous lead over the last few months. Still, it was a remarkable moment: a sitting governor conceding defeat to a political novice who had been unknown to the public a few months ago, in a contest Democrats must win to retain control of the upper chamber.
To understand where Mills went wrong and gauge Platner’s chances against Republican incumbent Susan Collins in November, I chatted with New York writer-at-large — and Maine resident Rebecca Traister (currently on book leave), who has closely followed this race from the beginning.
Benjamin Hart: This was one of the stranger high-profile senate candidacies in recent years. At least from the outside, it looked like Janet Mills barely even ran a campaign. Do I have that right? And if so…why didn’t she?
Rebecca Traister: You do have that right! It has been very strange. She’s been a candidate since October, but she hasn’t been a huge visible or audible presence in the race, perhaps especially in contrast to her opponent, Platner, whose campaign has been built around steady and relentless engagement with voters: zillions of town halls and rallies and protests outside Susan Collins’ office. It’s a small state, so Mills is visible in the way she always is — you might see her at a hockey game, or a restaurant or just on the street — but she hasn’t been campaigning with that same level of visibility or engagement with voters. She ran a handful of negative ads against Platner, which appear to have backfired spectacularly, but did not do any major advertising about her own record as governor. She declined to attend a candidate forum hosted by the Wabanaki Alliance in April, a strange choice since tribal issues have been a real weak point for her and I would think that she’d want to show strength there. She had a scheduling conflict for another early debate/forum. So she hasn’t even been in a debate with Platner; the first big one is scheduled for next week and it’s striking that she dropped out before it happened.
As to the why part of your question: I do not know! Mills has a lot of loyal fans in the state. When I was doing reporting for a piece about Democratic Party gerontocracy in the fall, I cannot tell you the number of people I interviewed — both in Portland and the rural north of the state — who described themselves as “Mills Democrats” or identified as people who loved Janet Mills. I also noted at the time that almost none of them were supporting her for Senate. There was a widespread feeling that this job should perhaps go to someone younger, and also such a feeling that maybe Mills wasn’t even that eager to run for it. Yet I’m surprised that she didn’t find a way to make more of the loyalty she inspires in people.
Ben: It feels like her heart was never really in this — that she was tapped by national Democrats as the person who could finally beat Susan Collins, which made a good deal of sense on paper (notwithstanding her age) but just never translated in the real world. Which, I will admit, surprised me.
Rebecca: Yes, though she insisted to me in an interview in the fall that Schumer’s pressure had nothing to do with her (late) entrance into the race.
Ben: Also, I see a lot of people saying that her timing was off, by waiting so long to jump in.
Rebecca: When it came to running against Platner, I think the lateness really hurt her, in part because he’d spent late August, September, and October running around the state, creating a very strong in-person bond with voters, that I think wound up absolutely saving him when the Reddit/tattoo oppo dropped on him. Had he not had that six or eight weeks of early bonding with Mainers, those stories could have been the campaign-killer I think most people in the Democratic and media establishment assumed they would be.
One quick recollection before we move on: When I was reporting my piece........
