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Non-oil boom masks deeper risk as Saudi growth still hinges on state spending

38 0
14.04.2026

Saudi Vision 2030 deploys several policy instruments to reduce dependence on hydrocarbons. Central among them is the Public Investment Fund (PIF), which serves as the primary capital engine for diversification by investing in strategic sectors such as tourism, entertainment, mining, logistics, renewables, and advanced manufacturing. These investments are complemented by sector-specific strategies (mining as a third economic pillar, renewable energy expansion, and industrial localization), along with fiscal reforms including VAT (Value Added Tax) introduction, subsidy rationalization, and efforts to expand non-oil revenues. Labor localization and skills development policies aim to increase domestic participation in higher-value industries.

Dr. Umud Shokri, Senior Visiting Fellow at George Mason University and Energy Strategist noted that in the short term, diversification has produced measurable results. Non-oil GDP (Gross Domestic Product) has grown steadily and now represents a majority share of........

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