Azerbaijan targets 82% non-oil GDP share in push to diversify economy
Azerbaijan’s economic outlook through 2030 places diversification at the centre of its development strategy. The government projects gross domestic product to reach 169.1 billion manat, equivalent to approximately $99.5 billion, by the end of the decade, with the non-oil and gas sector accounting for 82% of GDP. These targets outline an ambitious economic agenda built around industrial expansion, stronger exports, investment and the development of higher-value economic activities.
According to Azerbaijan’s Ministry of Finance, average annual real GDP growth is projected at 3.3% over the medium term, while the non-oil and gas economy is expected to expand by an average of 4.4%. Non-oil and gas GDP is forecast to reach 138.6 billion manat, or approximately $81.5 billion, by 2030. These figures establish a clear benchmark for measuring the progress of economic diversification.
The latest economic indicators already reveal important developments across several sectors. Azerbaijan’s State Statistical Committee reported that non-oil and gas industry output increased by 5.4% year on year during January–September 2026. Transportation and storage services grew by 10%, while information and communication services expanded by 11.1%. These results highlight the growing contribution of manufacturing, logistics and digital services to economic activity.
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