On April 8, less than two hours before the deadline for the ultimatum issued by the United States against Iran, an interim agreement on a ceasefire for two weeks was signed. This agreement, which came into being after several weeks of military activity in the region, is aimed at temporarily halting the conflict, which could turn into a full-scale regional war.

Pakistani mediation is considered a key aspect in the signing of the interim agreement. Official reports indicate that the efforts made through the diplomatic engagement campaign launched by the Prime Minister of Pakistan, Shehbaz Sharif, along with the army chief Gen. Asim Munir, have been pivotal in arriving at this compromise agreement.

However, at the very outset, it seems that the ceasefire agreement is fragile.

Questions over its durability emerged almost immediately, with reports suggesting that implementation is uneven and trust between the parties remains limited. Signals of uncertainty became more visible when an earlier social media post by Iran’s Ambassador to Pakistan, Reza Amiri Moghadam, announcing an upcoming Iranian delegation visit to Islamabad, was later deleted. The post had indicated that ceasefire talks with US representatives were scheduled in Pakistan’s capital.

Shortly after, Iranian state-linked media reported that the delegation did not travel to Islamabad as planned. Tasnim news agency, citing a source close to the diplomatic team, confirmed the absence of Iranian negotiators on the scheduled day of talks. Meanwhile, earlier reporting by the Wall Street Journal was dismissed by Iranian sources as “completely false.”

According to the same source, Tehran’s participation in negotiations is conditional:

“As long as America (The United States) does not fulfil its commitment to the ceasefire in Lebanon and the Zionist (Israel) regime continues its attacks, negotiations will be suspended.”

The result is a ceasefire that exists on paper, but remains politically contested in practice.

What can we........

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