Three years ago, the idea of Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Georgia building a common regional home seemed a noble wish - admirable in concept, impossibly remote in practice. Indeed, the concept of the “South Caucasus House” in the context of the visionary ideas of prominent Azerbaijani writer and philosopher Mirza Fatali Akhundov streching back to the 19th century, when referring to the historical attempt to establish the short-lived South Caucasus Sejm in 1917, which ceased to exist within months since its establishment, and finally the declaration issued in 1996 by Heydar Aliyev and Eduard Shevardnadze, that gestured toward a common regional destiny. Conceivably, the concept had a habit of coming back like a boomerang defeated by politics.

In the past two years, the South Caucasus has undergone changes that no analyst had reliably forecast. Indeed, the peace accord signed between Armenia and Azerbaijan in the White House in August 2025, marking the end of the conflict, which had been going on for more than thirty years, was unprecedented in every possible way, as it represented the first time that there were positive relations between the three states in the region since their gaining independence after the dissolution of the USSR. Georgia and Azerbaijan have always had close and good relations. Now, it is time for the third vertex of that triangle, Armenia-Azerbaijan relations, to change from hostile to positive dynamics, albeit rather fragile.

Since the lifting of Azerbaijan's transit restrictions in late 2025, Russian grain and Azerbaijani fuel have been arriving in Armenia via Azerbaijani railways, over 10,000 tons of oil products and more than 22,000 tons of grain since January 2026 alone. They are the infrastructure of economic peace. It was done not by statesmen and their declarations but by logistics directors and railway operators who were previously unable to do........

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