menu_open Columnists
We use cookies to provide some features and experiences in QOSHE

More information  .  Close

A Warning, Not a Roadmap: Diagnosis, Not Endorsement

57 0
29.08.2026

Dawan Africa did not invent the argument, but its framing risks turning a defensive diagnosis into an apparent strategy for Mogadishu.

On August 25, Dawan Africa published an analysis titled “Somalia’s Strategy to Contain Somaliland: Why Israeli Recognition Alone May Not Be Enough,” drawing extensively on my August 20 essay in The Times of Israel, “Somalia’s Strategy to Contain Somaliland: Israel Recognition Alone Is Not Enough.” 

Dawan Africa https://www.dawan.africa/news/somalias-strategy-to-contain-somaliland-why-israeli-recognition-alone-may-not-be-enough-analysis credits the original article and reproduces much of its central argument with reasonable accuracy. It also includes several elements of the counter-strategy proposed for Somaliland and Israel. The problem is more subtle: its headline and organizing frame place Mogadishu’s instruments at the center, creating the impression that my purpose was to advise Somalia on how to obstruct Somaliland. 

The original article was a strategic warning addressed principally to Somaliland and Israel. It identified the instruments available to Mogadishu so that Hargeisa and its partners could anticipate, reduce, and ultimately overcome their effects. 

Describing a strategy is not endorsing it. Identifying a vulnerability is not recommending that an opponent exploit it. 

Administrative lawfare was a warning 

The original article used the term “administrative lawfare” to explain how Somalia can employ the privileges attached to international recognition without exercising actual governmental authority inside Somaliland. The relevant........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)