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Pakistan Is Not Stable. It Is Unraveling.

54 0
15.07.2026

A nuclear-armed country is being consumed by insurgency, military domination, political repression, economic despair and the consequences of its own support for extremism

For decades, Western governments have treated Pakistan as a difficult but fundamentally stable state, a nuclear-armed country held together by a powerful military, foreign assistance and the strategic interests of the United States, China and the Gulf states.

That assumption is becoming dangerously detached from reality.

Pakistan is no longer confronting one isolated crisis. It is confronting multiple crises simultaneously: a rapidly intensifying insurgency in Balochistan, rising anger in Sindh, Taliban violence, conflict with Afghanistan, political repression, enforced disappearances, religious persecution, unemployment, water insecurity and the expanding domination of the economy by the military establishment.

Pakistan is not stable.

Balochistan has moved beyond ordinary unrest

Balochistan is experiencing what increasingly resembles a full-scale rebellion.

In July 2026, Pakistan’s military reported that 42 police officers and soldiers had been killed in three major attacks within a matter of days. Earlier in the year, coordinated assaults brought parts of the province to a virtual standstill, targeting security installations and government infrastructure across multiple locations.

This is no longer a small collection of militants hiding in remote mountains. Baloch insurgent organizations have demonstrated greater coordination, improved weaponry and the ability to strike cities, transportation systems and heavily protected security targets.

The insurgents have also committed indefensible attacks against civilians. No legitimate demand for political rights can justify terrorism or the murder of innocent people.

But military force alone will not resolve the conflict.

Balochistan is rich in natural gas, minerals and strategic resources, yet it remains Pakistan’s largest and poorest province. Generations of Baloch citizens believe their resources have been extracted while their communities have remained impoverished, militarized and politically marginalized.

Instead of confronting those grievances, the state continues to arrest, disappear and prosecute people who expose them.

Dr. Mahrang Baloch became one of the most internationally recognized voices against enforced disappearances, alleged extrajudicial killings and economic injustice. In June 2026, an antiterrorism court sentenced her and another Baloch activist to life imprisonment.

The Balochistan government says she received a fair trial and was convicted for inciting violence connected to the death of a paramilitary soldier. Her lawyer has announced an appeal. Human rights advocates have described the proceedings as secretive and fundamentally unfair. Amnesty International has demanded the activists’ immediate release and said they were prosecuted following a secret trial.

When peaceful activists are treated like terrorists, the state sends a devastating message to the next generation: peaceful dissent will bring imprisonment, while armed resistance is the only language the establishment understands.

That is how insurgencies grow.

Sindh is also losing faith in the federation

Sindh has not reached the level of armed conflict seen in Balochistan, but resentment is deepening.

Water is at the center of that anger.

The Indus River is not merely a waterway for the Sindhi people. It is the foundation of Sindh’s agriculture, history, culture and continued existence. When the federal government supported the construction of six new canals, many Sindhis believed that additional water would be diverted toward politically favored agricultural projects while farms, fishing communities and the Indus Delta suffered.

Widespread protests,........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)