With Abkhazia and South Ossetia, Russia Holds a Poisoned Chalice
As Russian influence across the South Caucasus continues to erode, one of the Kremlin’s most senior officials, Sergei Kiriyenko, has been tasked with strengthening Moscow's oversight of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, the two territories it recognized as independent after the 2008 war with Georgia. In recent days, Moscow dispatched a new ambassador to one and effectively installed a new leader in the other.
The appointments signal a new attempt to make the two territories more manageable for the Kremlin. They also revive a question that Russia has struggled to answer since recognizing them nearly two decades ago: how can it deepen its control over Abkhazia and South Ossetia without further limiting its room for maneuver elsewhere in the South Caucasus?
At the beginning of July, the first deputy head of the Russian presidential administration visited South Ossetia to meet its newly installed de facto president before continuing to Abkhazia, where Russia's new ambassador had just arrived. Both men are closely associated with Kiriyenko, underscoring his role as the Kremlin's chief political overseer of the two territories.
Russia has recognized Abkhazia and South Ossetia as independent states since 2008, while almost the entire international community continues to regard them as part of Georgia.
Moscow maintains military bases there, finances much of their budgets and keeps military, security and civilian officials permanently on the ground.
Alongside these formal instruments of control, the Kremlin has traditionally relied on senior political envoys from the presidential administration or security services (or both at same time) to oversee relations with the territories and intervene during political crises.
South Ossetian Leader Steps Down to Become Putin Adviser
Kiriyenko has held this role for just over a year. Like every Kremlin official before him, he inherited the same challenge: successive Russian envoys have tried to make Abkhazia and South Ossetia easier to govern by transplanting Russian administrative practices into societies........
