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EXCLUSIVE: Critical Swing State Poll Shows Trump Retains High Support Among Base

Voters unveil painting of Trump in New York City. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images)

Pedro Boccalato Rodriguez-Aparicio is a journalism fellow at The Daily Signal. Send an email to Pedro.

Ahead of the 2026 midterms, polling from a critical swing state found that President Donald Trump is retaining a vast majority of his voting base.

A new League of American Workers survey showed that 85% of Wisconsin voters who voted for President Donald Trump in 2024 remain favorable of the president after he announced the commencement of Operation Epic Fury against Iran.

Only 9% of the 658 respondents who stated they voted for Trump in 2024 indicated that they regret making that decision, while only 6% of voters remain undecided.

While support within his base remains high, the poll indicated that in total, only 38% of the 1495 voters surveyed approve of the president’s job.

The president’s approval rating could be linked to the war in Iran, the poll indicated, as 50% of the voters surveyed marked that they oppose the president’s military campaign against Iran.

While the respondents’ approval of the Iran campaign is a tight split, the poll found that more respondents favor having a Democrat Congress come January 2027: 45% of voters would rather see the Democratic Party in control of Congress, compared to 41% who said they would rather see the Republican Party in the majority.

While Republicans are trailing Democrats at the national level, the upcoming gubernatorial race is much tighter.

Only 40% of voters surveyed in the poll have indicated that they will vote for Mandela Barnes, the former lieutenant governor, if he were to win the Democratic nomination on Aug. 11.

In 2015, Barnes wrote on X that the now-deceased Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, “is #BlackLivesMatter.“

Barnes’ potential Republican opponent, Rep. Tom Tiffany, R-Wis., who leads the Republican Primary, is trailing Barnes by only 2%. Fifteen percent of respondents remain undecided.

However, if the governor’s race were to be a potential matchup between Tiffany and current Democratic Lieutenant Governor Sara Rodriguez, 44% of respondents stated that they would back Rodriguez, compared to the 41% of voters who pledged to support Tiffany.

Rodriguez previously beat Barnes in the Democratic Primary for Lieutenant Governor in 2022.

Another Democrat primary candidate, former Wisconsin State Assemblyman David Crowley, leads Tiffany in a general election by 1%.

Tiffany’s most advantageous matchup in a general election, according to the poll, would be against Wisconsin State Assemblywoman Francesca Hong, who has been endorsed by local chapters of the Democratic Socialist of America.

In a Tiffany versus Hong matchup, Tiffany leads by 3%, with 16% of voters still undecided.

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Today, even with President Trump’s victory, leftist elites have their tentacles in every aspect of our government.

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In this book, O’Neil reveals how the Left’s NGO apparatus pursues its woke agenda, maneuvering like an octopus by circumventing Congress and entrenching its interests in the federal government.

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