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One Nation’s rise turns around as Newspoll and Resolve both have Labor well ahead

21 0
20.04.2026

Has One Nation reached its polling peak? That’s the intriguing question from the latest batch of polls.

On Friday I covered a DemosAU poll that was one of Labor’s worst since the 2025 election. Newspoll and Resolve give Labor clear leads, and both have the combined vote for One Nation and the Coalition at 45% (down two in Newspoll and down one in Resolve). That’s four points lower than in DemosAU.

There is disagreement between these polls on Angus Taylor’s ratings. In Newspoll, Taylor is down six to a -13 net approval, but he’s up six to a 15 net approval in Resolve. Taylor trails Anthony Albanese as better PM by nine points in Newspoll but just one point in Resolve.

Albanese’s net approval is poor in both polls at -15 in Resolve and -17 in Newspoll. But voters are blaming US President Donald Trump for the current high petrol prices, and that is protecting Labor.

An early April Spectre Strategy poll is more encouraging for the right as it has the overall right vote at 50%, one point higher than in DemosAU. But Newspoll and Resolve are more recent and have a better record at elections.

A national Newspoll, conducted April 13–16 from a sample of 1,235, gave Labor 31% of the primary vote (steady since the previous Newspoll, three weeks ago), One Nation 24% (down two), the Coalition 21% (steady), the Greens 13% (up one) and all Others 11% (up one).

With One Nation still ahead of the Coalition, no two-party........

© The Conversation