The three new federal polls show mixed results – but some good news – for One Nation following a polling slump in response to Pauline Hanson’s June 17 National Press Club address. This is particularly marked in Morgan, where One Nation gained 5.5 points to 28% after dropping nine points in the prior two weeks from a high of 31.5%.

In DemosAU and Resolve, One Nation is down but the Coalition has made gains. The total vote for One Nation and the Coalition is 50% in DemosAU (up two), 49% in Resolve (steady) and 48% in Morgan (up four).

Morgan is a weekly poll, while the other two are monthly. If DemosAU and Resolve had been conducted in the week after Hanson’s address, they would probably have shown a greater drop for One Nation.

Both DemosAU and Resolve suggest Hanson has unpopular policies, which Labor will attack closer to the election.

A Victorian Resolve poll has Labor and the Coalition tied on 27% of the primary vote with One Nation at 22%.

A national Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted July 6–11 from a large sample of 2,252, gave Labor 28% of the primary vote (steady since the mid-June Resolve poll), One Nation 26% (down three), the Coalition 23% (up three), the Greens 12% (steady), independents 6% (down one) and others 5% (steady).

While there was no published two-party estimate, The Age’s article says “Labor is still in front of both conservative parties on a two-party-preferred basis”.

Albanese’s net approval improved six points to -14, with 53% giving him a poor rating and 39% a good one. This is his best net approval in Resolve since last December. Taylor’s improved one point to 7 (41% good, 34% poor). Hanson’s net likeability was down 11 points to 3, though Barnaby Joyce’s was up one point to -2.

In a three-way preferred PM question,........

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