Three further federal polls have been released since Monday’s article, for a total of five polls since Sunday.

The latest polls show a more modest drop for the combined One Nation and Coalition vote than Newspoll and Redbridge. The right vote is down 1.5–2 points in these three polls, compared to 3–4 points in the earlier polls.

There’s a big contrast between YouGov (One Nation up two and Coalition down four) and Morgan (One Nation down 5.5 and Coalition up four). The total right vote is at 49% in Essential, 47.5% in Morgan, 47% in YouGov and Redbridge and 46% in Newspoll. Labor’s primary vote is up 1–3 points in all five polls.

In US polling, Donald Trump’s net approval has recovered slightly from a low in late May. Democrats have a large enough margin in the generic ballot to overcome Republican gerrymandering.

YouGov poll: One Nation gains, Coalition slumps

A national YouGov poll for Sky News, conducted June 23–30 from a sample presumably about 1,500, gave One Nation 30% of the primary vote (up two since the mid-June YouGov poll to a new high), Labor 29% (up three), the Coalition 17% (down four to a new low), the Greens 13% (steady) and all Others 11% (down one). Of the Others, independents had 6% and others 5%.

By respondent preferences, Labor led both One Nation and the Coalition by 54–46, a two-point gain for Labor against both One Nation and the Coalition.

Anthony Albanese’s net approval improved four points to -21 (57% dissatisfied, 36% satisfied). He has improved five points from a late May low. Angus Taylor’s net approval was........

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