Politics

Will Migration From Blue States to Red States Give the GOP a Boost in the Electoral College? Not Necessarily.

While many of the states that are growing are currently seen as safe red territory, today's Republican-voting states could be tomorrow's swing states.

Stephanie Slade | From the May 2026 issue

Share on FacebookShare on XShare on RedditShare by emailPrint friendly versionCopy page URL Add Reason to Google

Media Contact & Reprint Requests

(Illustration: Midjourney)

Since 2015, the U-Haul Growth Index has been shining a light on domestic migration trends by looking at where people picked up one-way truck reservations and where they dropped them off—a clever if imperfect proxy for relocations. As in recent years, red states such as Texas, Florida, and Tennessee topped the rankings for drawing new residents in 2025, while blue states such as California, Illinois, and Massachusetts filled out a majority of the bottom spots.

Because votes in the........

© Reason.com