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When Republicans moved to redraw congressional maps in Texas to maximize their advantage in the House, California Gov. Gavin Newsom responded with a counterpunch: Proposition 50, a California redistricting measure explicitly designed to eliminate up to five Republican congressional seats and offset Democratic losses elsewhere.

It was partisan hardball in the open, justified by Newsom and Democrats as a necessary response to GOP map-drawing in Texas and other states. It also had the added benefit of buoying Newsom’s national political capital with his party as he gears up for a likely White House run in 2028.

Newsom cast the move as fighting fire with fire, an unfortunate choice of words the same year as the Palisades and Altadena fires killed at least 28 people and leveled some of the most beautiful neighborhoods in Los Angeles County.

But on Tuesday, California voters appear to have poured at cold water on at least some of those plans.

With early primary returns now in, the grand gerrymandering plan looks like it’s unraveling – or at the very least, won’t deliver the sweeping seat eliminations Newsom and Democrats had hoped for in California where Republicans previously held only nine of the state’s 52 seats.

State Sen. Tony Strickland, who represents Huntington Beach, said the results “just tell you how out of step Newsom” is with voters across California.

Strickland also took aim at the measure itself, arguing it inverted the democratic relationship between voters and their representatives. Prop 50 “is fundamentally wrong,” he said, “because it allows politicians to pick their constituents, not the other way around.”

“Their goal was to try to make these seats as uncompetitive as possible, which I think is bad for the voters of California,” he told RealClearPolitics Thursday.

District by district, the picture emerging is one of Republican resilience – and in some cases, a surprising Democratic collapse in races Newsom’s allies had hoped to turn.

In CA-6, Newsom's camp hoped that redistricting and anti-Trump energy might sideline Rep. Kevin Kiley, one of the governor's sharpest critics. Instead, Kiley officially became an Independent, and voters there may be poised to advance him and Republican Michael Stansfield to the November general election – with Democrat Dick Pan, the former state senator who championed California's strict childhood vaccine mandate legislation, left on........

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