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COMMENTARY: Is Cuba really on the cusp of 'falling’?

If you were to listen to many of the commentators, experts and prognosticators, you would think that Cuba is about to collapse.

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The socialist-leaning country, they keep telling us, is about to be taken off life-support and dispatched to the communist graveyard. Now that the Trump Administration has effectively turned off the Venezuelan oil tap and browbeat Mexico into significantly reducing its petroleum exports to the island, they are convinced that the death-watch for Cuba has begun.

In a recent Politico article, one insider familiar with U.S. government thinking explained: “Energy is the chokehold to kill the regime.” Of course, official Washington would settle for “another Venezuela” and a Delcy Rodríguez-like figure to take charge in Cuba.

Survived Trump’s First Term

A lot of smart folks, however, have been talking about the Cuban government’s demise since the late 1980s – with the fall of the Berlin Wall and the collapse of communist dictatorships in East Germany and Romania. Many a pundit clamoured: “Cuba is next.”

Then........

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