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Michigan Results: Scarier for Biden Than for Trump, and Here’s Why

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28.02.2024

Monday, I wrote a column that we headlined, “Biden Will Win Michigan Easily. It May Also Show His Weakness.” Like all pundits, I get a lot of stuff wrong, but Tuesday night’s results proved that one right. I did some guesstimating about how large the “uncommitted” vote would be. I wrote that 60,000 would get the White House’s attention, and that 100,000 “would attract tons of notice.”

That notice is happening. “Uncommitted” got almost exactly 100,000 votes, out of around 750,000 cast. It’s a very clear message of disapproval (that’s putting it mildly for a lot of people) of President Biden’s policy toward Israel. According to Steve Kornacki, “uncommitted” beat Biden in the city of Dearborn. So how should the White House respond?

Look—the election is eight months away. Some people saying today that they’ll never vote for Biden will stay true to that word. For them, it was all over when Biden embraced Bibi Netanyahu. It was over when the Biden administration cast doubt on the death toll. Maybe the Hamas-run Health Ministry was exaggerating the numbers; but really, that’s the fight you need to be having, while children are dying?

But eight months is a long time. If the reality of November is markedly different, Biden can win a substantial number of these voters back. But he needs to do some tough things to make that reality different.

The United States needs to broker an end to........

© New Republic


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