With Trump returning, NATO uncertain, and American protection gone, the EU has run out of time to achieve strategic autonomy. The age of illusions is over.

The Context: The American Shield Withdraws

Throughout his campaign, Trump reiterated the same themes from his first term—only this time with greater resolve. He cast doubt over America’s willingness to defend NATO allies, hinted at withdrawing support for Ukraine entirely, and showed open disdain for what he calls Europe’s “free riding.” His close ally, Vance, echoed similar sentiments, calling for an “America First foreign policy” and mocking European efforts to influence U.S. strategic choices.

This is not merely rhetoric. Trade tensions are re-escalating. Tariffs are back on the table. Aid to Ukraine has been halted or delayed. And America’s focus is drifting ever further toward internal divides and its rivalry with China. Europe, once the privileged partner, now stands as just another region in the global pecking order—and increasingly, one without........

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