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Israeli–US–Iran War: The Trap of Asymmetric Conflict and the Geopolitical Failing of American Power

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25.03.2026

Israeli–US–Iran War: The Trap of Asymmetric Conflict and the Geopolitical Failing of American Power

Trump walked into a trap set years in advance: a war he cannot win, on terms he does not control. What was meant to project strength is now reshaping the Middle East and accelerating a broader shift towards a fractured, post-hegemonic world order.

Trump Is Caught in Netanyahu’s Trap

What emerges from this trajectory is not merely a policy miscalculation but a structural trap: one long cultivated by Benjamin Netanyahu and rooted in the logic of asymmetric warfare.

At the core of this trap lies a fundamental mismatch between political ambition and military reality. Netanyahu’s long-standing objectives—regime change and weakening Iran—rest on a conventional understanding of military superiority. Trump, however, entered the conflict without a coherent strategic vision, effectively inheriting an escalation dynamic he neither designed nor controlled. As it was said, “the person without a plan… is Trump,” while Iran had anticipated precisely this scenario and prepared accordingly.

An Asymmetric Conflict

This is where the concept of asymmetric conflict becomes central. In international relations, asymmetric warfare refers to conflicts in which weaker actors avoid direct confrontation and instead exploit the vulnerabilities, such as economic, technological, and political, of stronger opponents.

Classic examples include U.S. engagements in Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq, where initial military dominance gave way to prolonged attrition and strategic exhaustion. As former Greek finance minister Yanis Varoufakis notes, the United States has repeatedly entered such conflicts with “immense confidence” only to exit “with its wings clipped.”

Iran has internalised these lessons. Lacking conventional superiority, it has deployed a doctrine aimed not at decisive victory but at protracted destabilisation. The so-called “mosaic defence strategy,” a decentralised system of command........

© New Eastern Outlook