The USA has started trade wars. President Trump has issued decree after decree, sometimes in a completely eccentric way: he closed down a humanitarian organization – the consequences of this move will show up over time, fired thousands of civil servants, allocated huge funds for the development of artificial intelligence, and abolished the Department of Education. Finally, he virtually abandoned the principles of free trade that had been in place since World War II and imposed tariffs.
He also made the EU feel lonely. The EU has realized its military weakness (although it should be noted that this weakness is relative. Thanks to high technology and a strong economy, the EU can regain its strength quite quickly).
The U.S. has dragged China into a trade war, openly declared its support for Taiwan, and considers the existing UN system to be meaningless. We may witness the collapse of the UN in Trump’s second term.
Israel is highly motivated and focused on its goals in the Middle East. Despite Trump’s obsession with the Nobel Peace Prize, Israel is terrorizing the region. Israel is preparing to attack Iran in the Golan Heights; the US strikes against the Houthis should be seen in this context. In addition, Israel openly states that it considers Turkey a threat. A recent statement by the Israeli government mentions the possibility of a conflict with Turkey within months, and Israel recently bombed bases we plan to use in Syria. (Tensions between Turkey and Israel are likely to continue with the use of proxy forces in Syria, unless Trump intervenes and forces an agreement.)
China, on the other hand, is making significant progress. It continues to amaze with its technology and is openly using Trump’s challenge to the world system as propaganda. (I recommend reading M. Friedman’s article ” I Saw The Future It Was Not in America” in the NYT).
China’s trade agreements with South Korea and Japan are also very important. Chinese media have characterized these agreements as an open challenge to the United States. Historical relations and conflicts of interest prevent the possibility of an alliance there yet, but we cannot say that while the world is changing so fast, interests will not change and the historical flow will not diverge.
In addition to all this, there is another growing trend in the world: Some leaders, especially Trump, do not hesitate to take steps in the style of Ragion di Stato. The justifications are similar; it is said that the legal order may........

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