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Russian Energy Is Now at Ukraine’s Mercy

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13.07.2026

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Russia’s War in Ukraine

Understanding the conflict four years on.

Ukraine’s drone war against Russia isn’t new. Its offensive against Russian energy assets isn’t new. But the scale, range, intensity, and impact of what Ukraine has done in just the last few months most certainly are.

Kyiv has used its expanding arsenal of standoff weapons (mostly drones but also some cruise missiles) to bring the war home to Russia in a way that, for the first time since 2022, could actually tilt the scales. Omsk is a good example. That’s Russia’s largest oil refinery, and it is located in Siberia, more than 1,200 miles away from Ukraine. Its destruction last week was traumatic for locals and nearly as seismic inside the Kremlin.

Ukraine’s drone war against Russia isn’t new. Its offensive against Russian energy assets isn’t new. But the scale, range, intensity, and impact of what Ukraine has done in just the last few months most certainly are.

Kyiv has used its expanding arsenal of standoff weapons (mostly drones but also some cruise........

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