The second Trump presidency will very likely mark a sharp departure from the traditional policies of past U.S. presidents. From Reagan to Obama, American foreign policy emphasized collaboration with allies to consolidate its unrivaled global leadership. In contrast, Trump is expected to double down on the unilateralist approach of his first term, dictating terms and imposing his vision. His strategy seeks to harken back to a gladiatorial era, enforcing a global order through economic leverage and military might—essentially “selling” security under the banner of U.S. authority.

China would likely emerge as Trump’s primary foreign policy focus. A second term could see the revival of a tariff war, with significant implications for both nations given China’s expansive global influence. This economic confrontation would be coupled with intensified displays of U.S. military and economic power in the Indo-Pacific region. Unlike previous administrations that prioritized the defense of allies such as Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan, Trump’s strategy would focus on containing China’s ambitions directly. Reinforcing the Third and Seventh Fleets would be a cornerstone of this effort, with Taiwan’s sovereignty playing a critical role in the broader strategy.

East Asian nations would face mounting pressure to contribute more financially to their security arrangements with the U.S. For instance, Taiwan might be required to........

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