In the wake of the recent assassination of Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, a question uppermost in the mind across the world strategic community goes as to what in store is for the Persian state. One finds the scenario thereof is highly obscure at the present stage.

History bears out Khamenei happened to be a co-architect with Ayatollah Ruhollah Khamenei, the leader of the so-called Islamic revolution of 1979 in Iran. He had played a   crucial role in institutionalizing the current Islamist regime. Since Khomeini’s death in 1989, he had come to rule the country with an iron hand. All elements of the current Islamic regime—its so-called elected government, its clerical judiciary, guardian council and armed forces, including the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), were answerable to him. Khamenei transformed the IRGC into an economic powerhouse and a global terror network.

No doubt, the current Iranian leadership council projects stability in the country. Its Assembly of Experts has reportedly confirmed Khamenei’s son Mojtaba Khamenei as the country’s new Supreme Leader. But such claims look too hollow to be relied upon. Reports are the new leader is hardly in command of the kind of authority the old was. The IRGC today is asserting its influence over the entire state apparatus in Iran. Its functionaries’ control over 30 per cent of the country’s gross domestic product. Mojtaba’s rise to his new status could be possible because of the backing he had of the IRGC.

One is not sure if the IRGC could continue to assert its authority in the future too . Chances are that the ongoing US and Israeli actions Iran might render it totally invalid in due course.

More importantly, one does not see the possibility of the emergence of any consensual authority in Iran today which could unite its diverse minorities. Iran today lacks a unified opposition of such a vision to unite its various minorities. According to an estimate, Iran’s ethnic minorities account for roughly 43 per cent of the population—the Azeris, the Kurds, the Baloch , the Turkmens , the Lors , Sunni Muslims , Christians, Zoroastrians etc.

One would suggest the US and Israel would do well to intensify their offensives against the clerical regime in Iran and pave the way for a process of democratization to begin in the country. Washington and Jerusalem may bear in mind if the Islamist regime in Iran is able to buy time and acquire nuclear weapons, it might be emboldened to carry forward its well-documented designs against not only the USA and Israel, but the entire humanity today.

Time is opportune for the USA and Israel to undertake their offensive course of action. Iran’s notorious proxies — Hamas, Hezbollah and Houthis — are too weakened to retaliate against them today. The people of Iran have long been looking forward to the destruction of Islamist regime in the country. They have suffered a lot in the post-Shah landscape.  Humanity calls upon the USA and Israel to reach out to the Iranians and liberate them from their oppressive Islamist regime.

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