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Peace with Morocco will expose Algeria’s fragile regime, not stabilize it

32 1
09.11.2025

North Africa is approaching a geopolitical turning point unlike anything the region has witnessed in half a century. For decades, a cold, grinding enmity between Morocco and Algeria has imprisoned the Maghreb in a state of political paralysis and economic stagnation. The human cost has been immense: closed borders, stunted growth, and entire generations deprived of the benefits that regional integration could have delivered. Today, however, Washington’s strategic realignment and the growing international embrace of Morocco’s autonomy plan in Western Sahara are pushing the region toward a long-elusive peace. Yet beneath the hopeful rhetoric lies a fundamental truth: peace with Morocco would not stabilize Algeria. Rather, it would expose the fragility, rot, and illegitimacy at the core of the Algerian state.

The United States’ steadfast support for Morocco’s autonomy plan is not simply a diplomatic preference; it is now the backbone of Washington’s long-term regional architecture. Both Republican and Democratic administrations have reaffirmed Rabat’s plan as “serious, credible, and realistic,” recognizing the Moroccan approach as the only viable path to lasting peace in Western Sahara. Far from a symbolic gesture, this policy represents a crucial pillar in America’s broader strategy stretching from the Atlantic coast to the Sahel.

Morocco has emerged as Washington’s most reliable partner in North Africa, not only in counterterrorism through the Trans-Sahara Counterterrorism Partnership but also in energy cooperation, maritime security, and economic modernization. As the Sahel disintegrates under the pressure of jihadist insurgencies and military coups, the US needs a strong, stable anchor-and Morocco fits that role.

This decisive American posture is reshaping global opinion. European powers, long cautious........

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