Canadians are almost evenly divided in two main groups: Those who are certainly voting for the Conservative Party in the next federal election (30 per cent) and those who are certainly not (32 per cent). This leaves 16 per cent who are fully undecided and 23 per cent who were leaning towards voting for the Official Opposition, but who say the resignation of Justin Trudeau has changed things. These voters need to see what the next leader of the Liberal Party does before deciding who to vote for.

The group waiting to see includes 24 per cent of British Columbians and 23 per cent of Ontarians. In early January, on the last poll conducted before Trudeau announced his intention to step down, the Conservatives led in these two provinces with the support of 54 per cent and 51 per cent of decided voters, respectively. With so many voters in two crucial battlegrounds rethinking their approach to the next election, a massive Conservative majority no longer appears assured.

At this stage, almost half of Canadians (47 per cent) say they would consider........

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