On the first week of January, the Conservative Party was slated for a massive victory in the Canadian federal election, with the support of more than half of decided voters in Ontario and British Columbia, and an unpopular Justin Trudeau dragging the Liberal Party to down. Plenty has changed since then. First came the seemingly incessant threats and verbiage from U.S. President Donald Trump. Later, Mark Carney took over as Liberal leader and prime minister.

This past weekend, Research Co. asked Canadians about the federal election that will take place on April 28, and the numbers have certainly moved. Just over two in five decided voters (41 per cent) will cast a ballot for the Liberals, while 37 per cent would support the Conservatives. All other federal parties are in single digits: the New Democratic Party at nine per cent, the Bloc Québécois at seven per cent, the Green Party at three per cent and the People’s Party at two per cent.

The survey outlines major problems for every party that is neither Grit nor Tory. The New Democrats are polling at a level not seen in half a century across the country, holding on to only 58 per cent of their voters in the 2021 election. In British Columbia, the NDP is at eight per cent—a proportion that does not bode well for incumbents defending........

© BIV