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As Iran’s leadership is targeted, the state holds - but for how long?

47 0
17.03.2026

The threads within Iran’s system of governance are growing thinner by the day. Beginning on 28 February, during the first days of large-scale attacks on Iran by the joint forces of the United States and Israel, the assassination of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, further accelerated the wave of targeted killings against leadership figures. However, the relative stability of the situation in Iran following Khamenei’s death, more precisely, the fact that the pillars of power did not entirely collapse, has added a somewhat different shade to perceptions about Iran’s future. Some believe that, given the abundance of alternatives for leadership positions in Iran, such operations will not significantly contribute to the plans of the United States and Israel.

Interestingly, in recent days, the killings of both high-ranking military generals and, according to the latest reports, figures at the highest levels of governance, including Ali Larijani, and the IRGC’s Basij force commander, Gholamreza Soleimani, have returned the tempo to its previous intensity. This suggests that the United States believes that the central pillar of Iran’s governance, which has turned into a myth of “invincibility”, may at some point become fragile and collapse altogether.

It is also noteworthy that, according to earlier speculation, US President Donald Trump had shared a list of preferred candidates in Iran. Conversely, Ali Larijani was reportedly included in the list of leaders considered targets by the United........

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