In the coming period, Armenia may find itself facing one of the most significant constitutional challenges ever since the Velvet Revolution of 2018. With Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan taking the next steps towards constitutional reform considered by many as necessary for the normalization of relations with Azerbaijan and fulfillment of promises made during the peace process, the issue now is not whether the Constitution will be amended, but how. Indeed, as plausible as the ongoing process may be, the current domestic dynamics say otherwise.

Political figure in Armenia Beniamin Matevosyan argues that the process itself could become the opposition's strongest opportunity to challenge Pashinyan's rule. His assessment deserves attention, but it also rests on several assumptions that may ultimately prove less certain than they initially appear.

According to Matevosyan, the decisive moment will arrive once the government officially submits its constitutional reform package to parliament. He argues that Pashinyan, despite holding a parliamentary majority, lacks the constitutional majority required to approve amendments on his own.

In his view, it turns the parliamentary opposition into the main political player. In case all the members of the opposition reject the proposed amendments, the government may fail to achieve one of its........

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