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OPINION | Why China Can’t Invade Taiwan

23 0
24.05.2026

The threat of conflict hangs heavily over the Taiwan Strait as China continues to  aggressive military  deployment and muscle flexing in the region. Meanwhile, Taiwan, which considers itself a sovereign nation, is bolstering its defences and conducting military drills to prepare for any potential invasion by the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA). This state of tension, characterized by a precarious balance of "no war, no peace," has persisted since the late 1990s, largely due to the Chinese government's concern that an invasion could jeopardize its economic interests and lead to serious geo-political and geo-economic fallout.

Taiwanese citizens are resolute in their commitment to safeguarding their democratic way of life, willing to make significant sacrifices to maintain their freedom. The determination of the Taiwanese people to protect their sovereignty poses a considerable challenge for China, as any military action could have profound repercussions both domestically and internationally. Should the PLA attempt to land troops on the island, it is likely to encounter fierce resistance, potentially leading to intense urban combat and extensive aerial bombardment that could devastate Taiwan's modern economy, which is also intertwined with China's.

Despite the ongoing political strife and fundamental disagreements regarding Taiwan's status, both sides have cultivated a complex network of economic interdependencies. Taiwan has become one of China's largest investors, with Taiwanese businesses investing over USD 203 billion from 1991 to 2022, while bilateral trade has reached over USD 225 billion. This intricate relationship highlights the strategic dependencies and significant risks that both nations face, as over one million Taiwanese citizens live and work in China, contributing to the employment of millions of Chinese and reinforcing the economic ties........

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